States where Trump is strongest and weakest – 2016 Presidential Race
The New York Times published the results of a study of 11,000 interviews with voters who call themselves Republican-leaning (but may not all be Republicans – more on that below). They broke it down by congressional district to gauge the level of support for Donald Trump. The purpose of their study seems to be to show that places where people do racist web searches correlated nearly perfectly with places where Trump has his strongest support (really!). But let’s ignore this wacko angle (unless we also want to see if Obama is most popular in places where blacks kill blacks) and see if we can get something useful from the data:
Apparently, Trump has a very strong amount of support in the Northeastern states, the South, and parts of the Midwest.
In the Northeast, his support is strongest in New York State, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New Hampshire. It is very weak in Vermont, Delaware, and Maryland, which are not as important, since they have fewer delegates.
In the Midwest, Trump is extremely strong in Michigan and very strong in Illinois, as well as in Missouri. His support in Indiana and Wisconsin and Iowa is much weaker. I get the impression that the more urbanized Midwestern states have stronger support for Trump and the more rural areas are less supportive, which would explain why he’s struggling in Iowa.
In the South, Trump is doing extremely well, although he is not as popular in the crucial state of South Carolina as he is in the surrounding states. If you’re curious about his weak support in Arkansas, that’s because all of Mike Huckabee’s supporters live there.
Continued at: Blog: Here are the states where Trump is strongest and weakest
trump’s weakest and strongest states, donald trump